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International Journal of Infectious Diseases

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match International Journal of Infectious Diseases's content profile, based on 126 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.10% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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HOW TO INTRODUCE A NEW TB VACCINE IN ADOLESCENTS AND ADULTS: Insights from Key Stakeholders in Mozambique, Southern Africa

Lima, A. V.; Kim, D.; Acacio, S.; Fernandes, Q.; Jose, B.; Lopman, B.; Garcia-Basteiro, A. L.; Nelson, K. N.

2026-05-13 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.10.26352803 medRxiv
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Tuberculosis (TB) remains a major global health challenge, particularly in low- and middle-income countries such as Mozambique. To address this burden, promising new preventive TB vaccines targeting adolescents and adults are currently in phase III efficacy trials. This study aimed to assess stakeholders perspectives on priority high-risk groups, the challenges in reaching them, and potential strategies for delivering a TB vaccine. We conducted a qualitative study using semi-structured interviews with members of the National TB Program, the National Immunization Program, and the National Immunization Technical Advisory Group. Data were collected between March and July 2024. Our findings suggest that a TB vaccine program in Mozambique should prioritize individuals with comorbidities, especially those living with HIV or diabetes, and close contacts of TB patients, followed by healthcare workers, miners, and incarcerated populations. Although uptake is expected to vary across groups, relatively high coverage was anticipated among people living with HIV, TB contacts, and older adults, as well as healthcare workers, incarcerated individuals, formal miners, and in-school adolescents. To improve uptake, campaign-based strategies using mobile brigades were considered promising approaches to expand coverage. Stakeholder perspectives highlight the importance of prioritizing high-risk groups and adopting context-specific delivery strategies to support the effective introduction of a TB vaccine in Mozambique. Clinical trial numbernot applicable.

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Polypore Mushroom Mycelia for Treatment of Active COVID-19 Infection: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Saxe, G.; Shubov, A.; Smith, C. N.; Golshan, S.; Shekhtman, T.; Wilson, S.; Slater, D.; Bair, Z. J.; Beathard, C.; Davis, R. A.; MacElhern, L.; Kao, L. K.; Senowitz, P.; Gosnell, N.; Buchholz, D.; Aguilar-Carreno, H.

2026-06-09 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354267 medRxiv
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Use of fungal mycelia, which has antiviral properties, constitutes a novel strategy for addressing existing and newly emerging viral diseases. We evaluated safety and feasibility of fungal mycelia (Fomitopsis officinalis and Trametes versicolor, FoTv) for treatment of COVID-19 and assessed its antiviral effects and potential to reduce symptoms. In a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, dual site (UCSD/UCLA medical centers) clinical trial we examined non-hospitalized patients who contracted mild-to-moderate COVID-19 [≤] 96 hours, and experienced symptom onset [≤] nine days, before enrollment. FoTv was safe, well-tolerated, and feasible for COVID-19 treatment. Minor differences in biochemical markers were observed between groups (26 FoTv, 24 Placebo). FoTv significantly reduced the number and severity of symptoms, particularly sore throat/cough, and in vitro SARS-CoV-2 (pseudovirus) cellular infection. In conclusion, FoTv was safe and reduced COVID-19 symptoms and cellular viral infection. Future studies should investigate therapeutic benefits of fungal mycelia for SARS-CoV-2 and other viruses. Clinicaltrials.gov registration:NCT04667247.

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Methotrexate and Prednisolone compared to placebo and prednisolone in the treatment of Erythema Nodosum Leprosum - an international multicentre, double-blind randomised controlled clinical trial - MaPs in ENL

de Barros, B.; Sultana, F.; Maximus, N.; Pai, V. V.; Wakade, A.; Bhame, B.; Acharya, B.; Hamza, A.; Getachew, A.; Alinda, M. D.; Listiawan, M. Y.; Nigusse, S. D.; Hagge, D. A.; Napit, I.; Shah, M.; Darlong, J.; Nicholls, P.; Bernd, B.; Lambert, S. M.; Lockwood, D. N. J.; Walker, S. L.

2026-05-21 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353561 medRxiv
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Background Erythema nodosum leprosum (ENL) is a severe inflammatory complication of leprosy that often requires prolonged corticosteroid therapy which is associated with adverse effects. Methotrexate is an affordable immunomodulatory agent with limited evidence for its use in ENL treatment. We evaluated whether weekly oral methotrexate in additional to prednisolone reduces the need for additional prednisolone in adults with severe ENL. Methods and Findings We performed an international, multicentre, double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial conducted at five leprosy referral centres in Ethiopia, India, Indonesia, and Nepal. Adults aged 18-60 years with severe ENL were randomised to receive oral methotrexate and prednisolone, or matching placebo and prednisolone. All participants received an identical prednisolone regime over 20 weeks and were followed for 60 weeks. The primary outcome was time to first ENL flare requiring additional prednisolone, assessed over 24 and 48 weeks. Between January 2023 and June 2024, 231 individuals were screened and 137 were randomised (68 methotrexate and prednisolone; 69 placebo and prednisolone). By 24 weeks, 85/137 (62.0%) participants experienced an ENL flare requiring additional prednisolone; the adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for methotrexate versus placebo was 0.98 (95% CI 0.62-1.54). By 48 weeks, 102/137 (74.5%) experienced an ENL flare; adjusted HR 0.95 (95% CI 0.62-1.43). Secondary outcomes were similar: methotrexate did not reduce ENL severity at first flare, flare frequency, or severity of subsequent flares. Health-related quality of life improved substantially in both groups with no evidence of a differential treatment effect. Methotrexate was generally well tolerated. The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03775460). Conclusions Oral methotrexate added to prednisolone did not reduce the requirement for additional prednisolone or delay ENL flares compared to placebo and prednisolone, and our study does not support the use of methotrexate for severe ENL.

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Burden Of Community-Acquired Pneumonia In Hungary: A Nationwide Analysis Of Incidence, Hospitalization Rates And Mortality Between 2016 And 2020

Kiss, Z.; Meszner, Z.; Kulcsar, A.; Bogos, K.; Habon, T.; Moldvay, J.; Papai-Szekely, Z.; Tamasi, L.; Torzsa, P.; Voko, Z.; Wittmann, I.; Molnar, G. A.; Rokszin, G.; Kovacs, V.; Abonyi-Toth, Z.; Barcza, Z.; Szabo, T. G.; Varnai, M.; Odhiambo, R.; Berta, A.; Darida, M.; Horvath, I.; Kovacs, K. A.; Neuhauser, N.; Lakatos, B.; Muller, V.

2026-05-28 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354111 medRxiv
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Background: Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains a major global health burden disproportionately affecting older adults and people with comorbidities, with Streptococcus pneumoniae as one of the leading bacterial causes in Europe. The Hungarian Occurrence and Burden of PnEumonia (Hungarian-HOPE) study examined the incidence, hospitalization rates, and mortality of CAP between 2016 and 2020 in Hungary. Methods: The National Health Insurance Fund database was used to identify adult CAP patients (all-cause) based on ICD-10 codes J10-18. Outcomes included CAP incidence, 0-15-day hospitalization, and 0-30-day mortality after hospitalization, stratified by age, sex, and comorbidities (chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [COPD], asthma, cardiovascular disease [CVD], and type 1 and 2 diabetes [T1DM, T2DM]). Risk maps visualized relative risk gradients across population strata. Results: During the pre-pandemic period (2016-2019), over 100,000 CAP cases and more than 50,000 hospitalizations were recorded annually. In 2020, recorded cases fell to approximately 98,000, while hospitalizations increased to 66,200. Hospitalization rates increased from 25.1% in 2016 to 29.1% in 2019, then increased to 43.1% in 2020. The 30-day mortality among hospitalized patients rose from 22.7% in 2016 to 23.6% in 2019. Incidence, hospitalization, and mortality all increased with age. Relative to healthy males aged 30-39 years, CAP risk escalated steeply in the [≥]80 years cohort (incidence 5-15-fold; hospitalization >3-fold; mortality 11-24-fold) and was further amplified by COPD, CVD, or T2DM, with a lesser effect for T1DM. Conclusions: The results highlight the substantial age- and comorbidity-driven CAP burden in Hungary and support prioritization of preventive strategies including pneumococcal vaccination for older adults and high-risk groups.

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Geographic Clustering and Spatial Spillovers of Pediatric Appendicitis Mortality: A 169-Country Spatial Analysis from 2000 to 2019

yang, z.; Wu, P.; Fu, Y.; Jiang, B.; Huang, L.; Zhou, J.

2026-05-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.12.26353074 medRxiv
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Background Appendicitis is a readily treatable surgical emergency, yet it remains a cause of preventable death among children in resource-limited settings. While recent studies have documented the global burden of pediatric appendicitis, none have systematically examined its geographic clustering or spatial spillover effects. Understanding whether high-mortality countries cluster geographically, and whether neighboring countries influence each other's outcomes, is essential for designing regional surgical capacity strategies. Methods We conducted a spatial analysis of pediatric appendicitis case fatality rates in children aged 0-14 years across 169 countries from 2000 to 2019. Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023 and World Bank databases. We calculated global Moran's I to assess spatial autocorrelation, used Getis-Ord Gi* to identify local hotspots, and fitted spatial lag and spatial error regression models to quantify spatial spillovers while adjusting for GDP per capita, physician density, and basic sanitation access. Results Global Moran's I was 0.621 in 2000 (p < 0.001), 0.621 in 2010 (p < 0.001), and 0.592 in 2019 (p < 0.001), indicating strong and persistent spatial clustering. Hotspots at 99% confidence were consistently concentrated in sub-Saharan Africa and parts of South Asia, with little change in geographic distribution over two decades. The spatial error model provided the best fit (AIC = 212.6), with a spatial error coefficient ({lambda}) of 0.663 (p < 0.001), suggesting that approximately 66% of residual variation was explained by unobserved regional factors. In the final model, higher GDP per capita ({beta} = -0.497, p < 0.001) and higher physician density ({beta} = -0.568, p < 0.001) were independently associated with lower case fatality, while basic sanitation access showed no significant association (p = 0.284). Conclusions Pediatric appendicitis case fatality exhibits strong and persistent geographic clustering. The substantial spatial spillover effect suggests that regional coordination of surgical capacity building may be more effective than country-by-country investments. Priority should be given to hotspot countries in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, with emphasis on surgical workforce expansion rather than broad economic development alone.

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A wealth index based on two-component polychoric principal component analysis reduces urban bias and improves socioeconomic classification in low- and middle-income country surveys: a validation study using LSMS surveys

Vidaletti, L. P.; Dos Santos, A. M.; Hellwig, F.; Barros, A. J. D.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354245 medRxiv
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Background: The traditional wealth index, based on principal component analysis (PCA), used in the Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) and Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS), suffers from urban bias, distorting estimates of health inequality. We compared the traditional index (PEAR1) with an alternative two-component polychoric PCA index (POLY2) using annual expenditure from 12 LSMS surveys as the gold standard to determine which provides more accurate SEP measures for equitable policy targeting. Methods: We compared the traditional wealth index (PEAR1) with a two-component polychoric PCA approach (POLY2) using 12 LSMS (Living Standards Measurement Study) surveys (2015-2022) from 12 African countries. Annual household consumption expenditure was the gold standard. We assessed agreement using weighted Cohen's kappa and validated against education (proportion of households with secondary or higher education) using the concentration index (CIX) and slope index of inequality (SII). Results: The POLY2 index showed higher agreement with expenditure quintiles (average national weighted kappa = 43.3%) than the PEAR1 index (35.1%), with notable improvements in urban (43.5% vs. 27.5%) and rural (35.3% vs. 22.4%) areas. POLY2 also attenuated extreme household distributions observed in PEAR1. Education validation showed that POLY2 produced intermediate inequality gradients between the flatter expenditure-based gradient and the steeper PEAR1-based gradient. Conclusion: The POLY2 wealth index is superior to the traditional index, reducing urban-rural bias and providing more accurate socioeconomic classifications. Its adoption in large-scale surveys such as DHS and MICS is recommended to improve equitable monitoring of health inequalities in low- and middle-income countries.

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Determinants of specificity and end-user acceptability of an IP-10-based point-of-care triage test for antiretroviral therapy monitoring in Mozambique

Saura-Lazaro, A.; Adolfo Bila, D.; Van den Bogaart, E.; Myburgh, H.; Fisher-Cunhete, M.; Vaz, P.; Paulussen, R.; Viljoen, L.; Rinke de Wit, T. F.; Naniche, D.

2026-05-24 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.22.26353111 medRxiv
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Introduction: Viral load (VL) monitoring is the gold standard for antiretroviral therapy (ART) monitoring. Still, due to limited funds and infrastructure, many people living with HIV (PLHIV) in low- and middle-income countries do not receive timely VL testing. We evaluated the clinical performance and end-user acceptability of a prototype interferon gamma-induced protein 10 (IP-10) point-of-care (POC) test as a rule-out triage tool to identify individuals unlikely to have unsuppressed VL in PLHIV in Mozambique. Methods: A mixed-methods study was conducted between November 2023 and November 2024 at two primary healthcare facilities in Maputo Province. We enrolled 1,057 PLHIV on ART from stable and specialized risk clinics. Clinical performance of the IP-10 POC test (index test) was compared against plasma HIV VL (reference test; unsuppressed defined as >1000 copies/mL). Socio-demographic and clinical predictors of false-positive results were identified using multivariable logistic regression. Immediate acceptability was assessed through exit interviews on a subset of 43 PLHIV. Results: Among participants (71.7% female; median age 41.4 years), 12.0% had unsuppressed VL. The IP-10 POC test demonstrated high sensitivity (90.6%) and moderate specificity (35.6%). Specificity was higher in clinics treating stable patients (44.5% 95%CI: 39.7-49.3) compared to specialized risk clinics (26.5% 95%CI: 21.1-28.9). The proportion of false-positive results was also higher in patients attending specialized risk clinics. Independent predictors of false positivity included enrolment in a one-stop TB/HIV clinic (aOR=2.99 95%CI: 1.09-8.15), cotrimoxazole use (aOR=2.16, 95% CI: 1.13-4.13), and obesity (aOR=3.47 95%CI: 1.74-6.93). Acceptability was high: 70% of participants appreciated the test simplicity and rapid results, and 95.3% expressed interest in future testing. Most patients preferred finger-prick collection over venous draws. Conclusions: The IP-10 POC test is a highly sensitive triage tool, demonstrating superior performance among stable PLHIV enrolled in differentiated service delivery models like six-month multi-month dispensing. While factors associated with co-infections can reduce specificity, the test's high acceptability and potential to reduce confirmatory VL test demand suggests it could serve as a viable triage strategy for optimizing resources particularly in stable care pathways with a lower prevalence of inflammatory comorbidities. This could enable health systems to reallocate intensive monitoring toward higher-risk populations.

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Risk of progression to pulmonary tuberculosis among household contacts with chest radiographic abnormalities in South Africa

Mulenga, H.; Muchiri, E.; Mendelsohn, S. C.; Malherbe, S. T.; Moloantoa, T.; Tameris, M.; Maruri, F.; Noor, F.; Panchia, R.; Hlongwane, K.; Stanley, K.; Hadley, K.; Martinson, N.; Walzl, G.; Scriba, T. J.; Hatherill, M.; RePORT South Africa Study Team,

2026-06-02 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354586 medRxiv
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Background High-risk subgroups among household contacts of persons with tuberculosis (TB) might benefit from additional interventions. However, the significance of an abnormal baseline chest radiograph (CXR) suggestive of TB, despite negative sputum microbiology, is uncertain. Methods Adults ([&ge;]18 years) with recent household TB exposure were enrolled at three South African sites (April 2021-September 2022). All participants underwent symptom screening, CXR, and sputum Xpert Ultra and MGIT culture. Pulmonary TB diagnosis was microbiologically-confirmed. Participants without prevalent TB were followed for symptomatic incident TB through 12 months. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors associated with abnormal CXR suggestive of TB. Poisson regression estimated adjusted incidence rate ratios (aIRR) with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). Results Baseline CXR were available for 795/846 (94.0%) participants without prevalent TB and were abnormal in 157/795 (19.7%); associated with older age (adjusted odds ratio, aOR=1.04, 95%CI 1.02-1.05); prior TB (aOR=6.39, 95%CI 4.18-9.78); and current smoking (aOR=1.61, 95%CI 1.00-2.62). Symptomatic incident TB developed in 8/795 (1.0%) participants, including 7/8 (87.5%) who were asymptomatic and 4/8 (50.0%) with abnormal CXR at baseline. TB incidence was higher in those with abnormal versus normal CXR (aIRR=4.11, 95%CI 1.29-13.09), but after median 12.1 (IQR 11.1-13.1) months follow-up, 153/157 (97.5%) had not progressed to incident TB. Conclusions Adult household contacts with CXR abnormalities, but without prevalent TB, had a four-fold higher incidence of TB within one year, compared to those with normal CXR. This additional risk warrants targeted preventive treatment and extended surveillance, but since most remained TB-free, therapeutic TB treatment is not justified.

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Unmet demand, not reluctance: integrated HIV tuberculosis community screening is highly acceptable in socioeconomically vulnerable adults in South India

Karoly, M.; Jain, K.; Dauphinais, M.; Babu, S. P.; Francis, Z.; Dutra, A. C. A.; Bhandari, R.; Lokireddy, B.; Narasimhan, P. B.; Horsburgh, C. R.; Sarkar, S.; Chinnakali, P.; Sinha, P.

2026-05-22 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353605 medRxiv
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Background: Despite rising enthusiasm for active case-finding for TB, there have been concerns about conducting simultaneous HIV screenings due to perceived stigma, although the evidence to support this concern is scarce. We assessed the acceptability of integrated HIV-TB community screening and characterised participants' motivations and prior testing history. Methods: The SLIM study was a non-interventional cross-sectional study conducted in Puducherry (February 2023 to January 2024). In two community health camp-style screening events (one urban and one peri-urban), adults 18 years and older were offered TB screening via portable chest X-ray with AI-assisted interpretation (qXR, Qure.ai), plus sputum testing (Truenat), alongside point-of-care HIV testing. Structured questionnaires captured sociodemographics, prior testing history, and motivations for participation. Acceptability was pre-specified as >50% uptake. Results: Of 273 eligible adults approached, 264 (96.7%) accepted integrated screening, nearly double our pre-specified threshold. Participants were predominantly low-income with limited formal employment. The dominant motivation was a desire to know one's health status (HIV: 74.8%; TB: 73.7%), followed by convenience (16 to 17%). Prior HIV and TB testing was rare (7 to 13% and 15 to 18%, respectively). Participation was uniformly high across demographic groups; however, the screened population skewed older and female (mean age 58 (standard deviation: 12.6) years; 67% female). Men under 45 comprised only 3.7% of participants, substantially below their 24.7% share in the Puducherry population per the most recent census. Conclusions: Integrated HIV-TB screening achieved near-universal uptake in a socioeconomically vulnerable population with little prior testing exposure, contradicting concerns that community HIV screening would be poorly accepted in India. Integrated community-based screening should be scaled up as a cornerstone of TB elimination in high-burden settings. Crucially, because TB incidence in India peaks in the 15 to 45 age group and disproportionately affects men, targeted strategies to bring younger men and women into community screenings are essential.

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Multi-pathogen serosurveillance reveals correlated routine vaccination performance, waning tetanus immunity, and diphtheria boosting among children in Zambia

Sbarra, A. N.; Mutembo, S.; Carcelen, A. C. N.; Prosperi, C.; Moss, W. J.; Truelove, S. A.; Winter, A. K.; Bwalya, I. C.; Betha, E.; Kampamba, L.; Kabeta, E.; Chongwe, G.; Wesolowski, A.; Takahashi, S.

2026-06-02 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354612 medRxiv
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Background: Vaccination coverage estimates and case-based surveillance have limitations in evaluating immunization programs. Serosurveillance offers a complementary approach by directly measuring population immunity. We assessed whether serologic analyses across multiple antigens (i.e., measles, diphtheria, tetanus) could provide additional insights into vaccination program performance. Methods: We conducted a matched case-control study among children aged 2- to 10-years-old (n=1286) in Zambia using specimens from the 2016 ZAMPHIA survey. Using previously generated data on measles serostatus, measles seronegative children (i.e., cases) were matched to measles seropositive children (i.e., controls) on sex, age, HIV infection status, and province. Samples were tested for tetanus and diphtheria antitoxin IgG antibodies using commercial enzyme immunoassays. We estimated the odds of tetanus and diphtheria seropositivity by measles serostatus using conditional logistic regression and examined age-specific antibody dynamics. Results: Measles seronegative children had 1.7-fold increased odds (95% credible interval [CrI]: 1.3-2.1) of being tetanus seronegative compared to measles seropositive children. Diphtheria serostatus had no significant association with measles serostatus (odds ratio: 1.3; 95% CrI: 0.9-1.7). Tetanus seroprevalence declined monotonically with age. However, diphtheria seroprevalence initially declined through 5 years of age, then increased again beginning at 6 years of age despite the lack of vaccine booster doses given after the primary series in infancy, potentially from asymptomatic or subclinical infections. Conclusions: Serologic analyses revealed measles serostatus was positively associated with tetanus serostatus (where seropositivity arises only via vaccination and not infection), suggesting children who are measles seronegative are more likely to have missed DTP vaccination. We additionally found that measles serostatus was not associated with diphtheria serostatus, suggesting that antibody responses to diphtheria continue to boost beyond infancy when DTP vaccination is given. Our findings support consideration of DTP booster doses in Zambia to address waning tetanus immunity and further investigation of potential diphtheria carriage and transmission.

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SARS-CoV-2 Antibody Response during Omicron Predominance after COVID-19 Vaccination in People Living with HIV: A Comparative Study in Canada and Burkina Faso

Jarras, H.; Bazie, W. W.; Blais, I.; Pakenham, A.; Valiquette, j.; Theriault, M.; Traore, I. T.; Kania, D.; Ouoba, A. R.; Zoundi, Y.; Pelletier, M.; Tessier, P. A.; Pouliot, M.; Trottier, S.; Vachon, M.-L.; Gilbert, C.

2026-05-28 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354060 medRxiv
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People living with HIV (PLWH) are known to maintain a degree of immune deficiency despite efficient antiretroviral therapy and may exhibit diminished responses to vaccines. In this study, we assessed the immune response to SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccines in two geographically distinct PLWH populations. PLWH and HIV-negative (HIV-) participants were recruited from Qu&bec City (QC), Canada, and Bobo-Dioulasso (BD), Burkina Faso, for two visits at 24-week intervals during the predominance of the Omicron variant, from May 2022 to September 2023. Blood samples were collected at each visit for the detection of antibodies against spike (anti-S) and nucleocapsid (anti-N) proteins of SARS-CoV-2 in platelet-free plasma. A total of 360 participants were enrolled. We detected anti-S antibodies in 99% of participants, indicating that nearly all had prior exposure to the SARS-CoV-2 spike antigen, either through vaccination or prior infection. Anti-S titers showed no difference between PLWH and HIV& participants in each location, while significantly higher titers were observed in participants from QC compared to BD. In contrast, anti-N antibodies, indicative of prior infection, were detected in 39% and 86% of the participants in QC and BD, respectively, suggesting that the virus circulated largely in the latter population. No difference in anti-N levels was observed between PLWH and HIV& participants in BD. However, participants in QC had significantly lower titers compared to HIV participants. Overall, this study shows that PLWH develop robust antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination, comparable to those observed in HIV& participants. Significant geographic differences were observed in anti-S titers, irrespective of HIV status, with participants from QC displaying higher titers. In contrast, participants from BD had higher anti-N antibody prevalence and titers, reflecting more SARS-CoV-2 infections in BD than in QC. Finally, analysis of anti-S antibody titers against several circulating variants revealed significantly lower levels in unvaccinated participants and in those vaccinated with monovalent vaccines in BD. No significant difference was observed between monovalent and bivalent vaccines administered in QC. All authors have seen and approved the manuscript.

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Cross-reactive Bundibugyo antibody responses after licensed Ebola vaccines

Lhomme, E.; Wiedemann, A.; Ayouba, A.; Ben-Farhat, S.; Thaurignac, G.; Roy, C.; BEAVOGUI, A. H.; Doumbia, S.; Kieh, M.; Leigh, B.; Sow, S.; Migueles, S. A.; Watson-Jones, D.; Yazdanpanah, Y.; THIEBAUT, R.; Peeters, M.; RICHERT, L.; Levy, Y.; PREVAC study Team,

2026-05-28 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354223 medRxiv
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Background: The ongoing Bundibugyo virus disease (BDBV) outbreak in Central Africa highlights the absence of approved vaccines specifically targeting BDBV. Whether licensed Zaire ebolavirus (EBOV) vaccines induce cross-reactive immunity against BDBV remains largely unknown. Methods: We performed an immunogenicity analysis using serum samples from participants enrolled in the PREVAC randomized clinical trial evaluating licensed Ebola vaccine strategies in West Africa. Samples collected at day 28 (D28) and month 3 (M3) following vaccination with rVSV{Delta}G-ZEBOV-GP or Ad26.ZEBOV/MVA-BN-Filo were assessed using a multiplex Luminex assay against glycoproteins from multiple filoviruses, including EBOV Kikwit, EBOV Mayinga, BDBV, Sudan virus, Reston virus, and Marburg virus. Results: A total of 179 samples were analysed. Detectable cross-reactive antibody responses against BDBV were observed across vaccine groups, timepoints, and age categories. However, BDBV responses remained substantially lower than homologous EBOV responses. In rVSV recipients, median BDBV responses (net MFI) reached 282 (IQR 164-644) at D28 compared with 1788 (832-3311) against the homologous Kikwit antigen. Similar patterns were observed following rVSV booster vaccination and Ad26.ZEBOV/MVA-BN-Filo vaccination. The heterologous Ad26/MVA regimen demonstrated increasing BDBV responses between D28 and M3. Conclusions: Licensed EBOV vaccines induced detectable but quantitatively reduced cross-reactive antibody responses against BDBV. Although no direct assessment of vaccine efficacy against BDBV disease was possible, these findings support the plausibility of partial heterologous immunity following EBOV vaccination. In the absence of approved BDBV-specific vaccines, these data support the urgent evaluation of currently available Ebola vaccines during BDBV outbreaks and reinforce the importance of developing broadly protective pan-filovirus vaccines.

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Assessing the Impact of Interventions on Tuberculosis Control: India Based Modelling Framework

Raj, Y. A.; Parthasarathy, R.; Mitra, M. K.; Mehra, S.

2026-05-22 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.20.26353466 medRxiv
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Background India accounts for nearly one-fourth of the global tuberculosis (TB) burden. The country's progress towards elimination of TB is hindered by considerable heterogeneity in behavioural, social, and health system determinants, which influence transmission dynamics and care access. Evidence from the recent national TB prevalence survey showed that almost half of individuals with active disease were asymptomatic, underscoring the limitations of symptom -based case finding. Achieving the End TB targets will therefore require strategies that simultaneously address the substantial pool of individuals with undiagnosed, asymptomatic disease and those symptomatic individuals who do not seek care. Methods We developed a transmission model of TB that explicitly incorporates individuals with asymptomatic disease, and those who do not seek care. Model calibration was performed within a Bayesian framework using epidemiological and programmatic data for India. The calibrated model was then used to project the potential impact of intervention on TB incidence and mortality. Results Under the baseline scenario, the estimated TB incidence and mortality rates for 2024 were 180 (163-203) and 24 (18-31) per 100,000 population, respectively. Across all intervention scenarios targeting improved diagnosis, active case finding, nutrition support and their combination the reduction in incidence rate by 2030 ranged from 13% to 60% compared with 2025, while the corresponding decline in mortality rate ranged from 16% to 66%. Conclusion While individual interventions yield measurable reductions in TB incidence and mortality, but greater impact is achieved when implemented in combination reflecting the need for a comprehensive, multi-component response towards TB elimination.

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Geographical targeting of active case finding for tuberculosis in Pakistan using artificial intelligence software (SPOT-TB): a pragmatic stepped wedge cluster randomized control trial.

Mahfooz, A.; Latif, A.; Zaidi, S. M. A.; Ahmed, W.; Nawaz, N.; Reza, T. E.; Tahir, A.; Ur Rehman, F.; Naveed, S.; Shahid, A.; Ali, F.; Emmanuel, F.

2026-05-22 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.20.26348577 medRxiv
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Background Community-wide active case-finding (ACF) is being increasingly implemented as a tuberculosis (TB) elimination intervention. However, conventional site selection strategies may result in low yields from screening. We evaluated whether an artificial intelligence (AI) software guided targeting strategy could improve detection of TB during screening activities (called camps) relative to routine approaches to site selection in the programmatic setting in Pakistan. Methods We conducted a stepped-wedge cluster-randomised trial embedded within Global Fund supported ACF activities implemented by Pakistan s National TB Program and private sector partners. Thirty mobile X-ray van teams operating in 68 districts were randomly assigned to transition from routine site selection approaches (based on field-staff experience and historical data) to an AI-guided targeting strategy, using the software MATCH-AI. We assessed the effect of the intervention on the primary outcome, Camp Positivity Yield, defined as the number of individuals diagnosed with bacteriologically confirmed TB per camp, using generalised linear mixed models. The primary analysis was by intention to treat. Camps conducted within a 5-km radius of the AI selected locations were included in a validated per-protocol analysis. We conducted several district-level subgroup analyses. This trial is registered, number NCT06017843. Findings Between August 2023 and September 2024, 3,936 screening camps were conducted (2,046 control, 1,890 intervention), screening 269,254 individuals. In the intention-to-treat analysis, Camp Positivity Yield was 7% higher in the intervention group relative to the control group, however this difference was not statistically significant (adjusted risk ratio [RR] 1.07, 95% CI: 0.94 -1.22). In the validated per-protocol analysis, Camp Positivity Yield was 32% higher in the intervention group relative to the control group (adjusted RR 1.32, 95% CI: 1.12-1.54). Yields were highest in districts that had moderate baseline yields of 0.5-1% per population screened prior to the trial (adjusted RR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.13 - 2.18) and in rural districts (adjusted RR 1.43, 95% CI: 1.23 -1.65). Interpretation The use of an AI-guided targeting strategy significantly increased detection of bacteriologically confirmed TB during active case-finding in the validated per-protocol analysis, relative to conventional site-selection approaches employed by field-staff. This software may be considered as a supportive tool to improve the efficiency of community-based TB case-finding interventions in other high burden countries.

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SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination Status and MIS-C Incidence: A Systematic Review

Katherine Carroll, K.; Yang, H.; Mastrogiannis, A.; Rojas, K.; Cervia, J. S.

2026-05-19 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.15.26353349 medRxiv
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Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) is a rare but serious condition associated with pediatric SARS-CoV-2 infection. While COVID-19 vaccines prevent infection and reduce severity, less conclusive evidence exists regarding their role in preventing MIS-C during breakthrough infections. This systematic review assessed the impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination on MIS-C risk during breakthrough infection. Cross-sectional studies, surveillance studies, and cohort studies were included. Of the 944 studies identified, 6 were included. A significant protective effect was seen in patients who received two doses of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination after exclusion of a biased sample (d= 0.71 [95% CI 0.07 to 1.35; p=0.03]). A trend towards a protective effect was seen after one dose of vaccination, but this effect was not statistically significant. Current literature supports a protective effect of two doses of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination against development of MIS-C in breakthrough COVID-19. The evidence supports clinician advocacy for continued vaccination of children against SARS-CoV-2.

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Food insecurity as a determinant of adolescent mental health in Francophone and Anglophone Africa: A multilevel analysis

Fonta, C. L.; Elgar, F.; Gordon, D.; Toumpakari, Z.

2026-05-25 public and global health 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353168 medRxiv
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Food insecurity (also called, simply, FI) levels in sub-Saharan Africa are rising among its growing adolescent population, the world's fastest-growing teenage population. This study examines food insecurity and its role as a social determinant of poor mental health among African adolescents. The study utilised the Gallup World Poll data between 2014 and 2019, including adolescents aged 15 -19 (n=25,368). Poor mental health was measured using five validated responses about negative experiences. We employed a two-level binary logistic regression model to determine the associations between food insecurity and poor mental health. At the individual level, the primary explanatory variable, food insecurity, was measured using the FAO (2015) Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES). The odds of poor mental health exhibited a dose-response relationship with food insecurity severity, with mild (OR=1.70; 95% CI (1.57-1.84), moderate (OR=2.35; 95% CI (2.17-2.54) and severe food insecurity (OR=3.19; 95% CI (2.96-3.54) being associated with poorer mental health. Other assessed covariates showed that residing in a Francophone state increased the odds of poor mental health experiences, whereas positive experiences reduced the chances of poor mental health, as did residing in rural areas. There was no difference in the relationship between mental health and food insecurity across the two colonial origins. Food insecurity remains an important determinant of adolescent mental health in Francophone and Anglophone Africa. Investing in cost-effective agricultural and nutrition-sensitive interventions that boost food production could improve adolescent mental well-being while reducing long-term social and economic burdens on families and health systems in sub-Saharan Africa.

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Prevalence and Factors Associated with Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus Nasal Carriage Among People Living with HIV at Kiruddu National Referral Hospital, Kampala, Uganda

Babirye, J. A.; Bwanga, F.; Nakalega, R.; Mawanda, D.; Kugonza, C. D.; Namiiro, S. M.; Nakiganda, M.; Semitala, F.; Byakika-Kibwika, P.

2026-05-27 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354086 medRxiv
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Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus (MRS) infections are a significant public health concern. Anterior nares serve as a major reservoir and source of spread of MRS ssp. People living with HIV (PLWHIV) tend to be at higher risk of colonisation with MRS organisms due to frequent healthcare exposure. We assessed the prevalence of MRS nasal carriage and associated factors among PLWHIV at the HIV clinic of Kiruddu National Referral Hospital, Kampala, Uganda, from May to July 2024. Nasal swabs from 256 PLWHIV were cultured, and microbiological isolation was performed at MBN Clinical Laboratories. Prevalence was calculated as proportions, and logistic regression identified associations with clinical and socio-demographic factors (p < 0.05). Of 256 participants, 163 (63.7%) carried Staphylococcus, with 82 (32%) identified as MRS carriers (8.9% MRSA, 23% MRCoNS). Frequent hospital visits ([&ge;]3) (adjusted incidence risk ratio [A-IRR] = 1.18 x 107, p < 0.001), second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) (A-IRR = 3.82, p = 0.041), and unsuppressed viral load (>1000 copies/mL) (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 11.3, 95% CI: 2.11-60.58, p = 0.005) were significantly associated with MRS carriage. Mask-wearing was protective against MRCoNS (A-IRR = 1.66, 95% CI: 1.06-2.58, p = 0.026). MRS isolates exhibited high resistance to erythromycin (81.7%) and trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole (79.3%), but susceptibility to linezolid (93.9%). MRS nasal carriage is prevalent among PLWHIV. Individuals with frequent health care contact and those on second-line ART regimens are more susceptible to MRS colonization, while individuals who wear face masks and those with an undetectable HIV viral load are less susceptible. Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR) surveillance within HIV programs, enhanced infection control, ART adherence, and targeted screening for high-risk groups are critical to mitigate colonization.

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Heterogeneity in Mycobacterium tuberculosis immunoreactivity in young children in Blantyre, Malawi: a community-based survey

Rickman, H. M.; Phiri, M. D.; Mbale, H.; Feasey, H. R.; Nliwasa, M.; Chagaluka, G.; Seddon, J. A.; Mwandumba, H. C.; Horton, K. C.; Henrion, M. Y.; Mwenyenkulu, T.; Mbendera, K. N.; Nightingal, E. S.; Corbett, E. L.; MacPherson, P.

2026-05-21 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.05.21.26349011 medRxiv
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Background: As tuberculosis (TB) incidence declines, transmission increasingly concentrates into vulnerable populations. There is an urgent need for affordable surveillance strategies to monitor trends, identify high-risk groups and target interventions. Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) immunoreactivity surveys indirectly detect transmission and therefore undiagnosed infectious disease. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional community-based interferon-gamma release assay (IGRA) survey in children aged 1-4 years in Blantyre, Malawi. Community-representative participants were recruited using novel convenience sampling in health facilities alongside random household sampling, and tested for Mtb immunoreactivity using QFT-Plus IGRA. We constructed hierarchical Bayesian logistic regression models for IGRA positivity, with neighbourhood-level random effects. Findings: Of 1,545 participants, 102 (6.6%) had a positive IGRA: an annual risk of Mtb infection (ARTI) of 2.7% (95% CrI 2.2-3.2%). Immunoreactivity was higher in the poorest third of households (8.7% vs 4.9%; adjusted odds ratio: 1.88, 95% CrI 1.08-3.01) compared to the richest, but was not associated with HIV exposure, malnutrition or reported household TB exposure. There was substantial between-neighbourhood heterogeneity (ARTI range 1.1-4.1%). There was no association between neighbourhood-level TB case notifications and ARTI. Interpretation: An innovative convenience sampling approach identified a high burden and substantial spatial variation of recent TB transmission, which did not correspond to case notification rates. This strategy could support identification of high-risk populations, monitoring of trends and targeted public health interventions.

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Age-specific burden of medically attended respiratory virus disease in high-income countries: a scoping review and meta-analysis

Gupta, M.; Zoega, H.; Stopard, I. J.; Liu, B.; Macartney, K.; Wood, J. G.; Hogan, A. B.

2026-06-10 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26354660 medRxiv
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Introduction: Respiratory infections are a leading cause of morbidity. Newly available vaccines to prevent respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease and encouraging clinical progress on vaccines for human metapneumovirus (hMPV) and parainfluenza (PIV) could reduce the disease burden beyond existing influenza and SARS-CoV-2 immunisation programs. However, evidence on the contribution of these viruses to respiratory disease burden across the lifespan remains limited. Methods: We reviewed studies from 01/2002-11/2025 reporting age-stratified, medically attended cases of influenza, and at least one of RSV, hMPV, or PIV, in high-income countries, excluding periods substantially overlapping with the COVID-19 pandemic. Using only studies that tested for all four viruses, we estimated the age-specific proportion of cases that were non-influenza (total across RSV, hMPV and PIV) compared to influenza using a mixed-effects logistic regression model. Results: Following exclusions and screening, 61 studies were included in the primary analysis comprising >500,000 detections of the four viruses. We found that a substantial proportion of medically attended respiratory illness in infants and young children was due to PIV, hMPV and RSV, rather than influenza, with a non-influenza virus proportion of 90.2% (95% CI 85.9-93.2%) in young infants aged 0-6 months. The converse was true for school-aged children, with a non-influenza virus proportion of 34.8% (95% CI 26.5-44.2%) in children aged 5-18 years. In adults aged 65+ years, non-influenza causes of medically attended disease were common at 60.2% (95% CI 50.0-69.5%). Restricting to studies reporting hospitalised cases (n=19) produced broadly similar age-specific trends in relative virus burden contributions. Discussion: We highlight the significant burden of medically attended illness due to PIV, hMPV and RSV across ages, particularly in infant and preschool-aged children and older adults, supporting the need for effective vaccines targeting this burden.

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Within-household transmission risk of pulmonary tuberculosis in the era of universal antiretroviral therapy

Khan, P. Y.; Govender, I.; McCreesh, N.; Sithole, M.; Mkwanzai, E.; Sweeney, S.; Ording-Jespersen, G.; Wong, E. B.; Hanekom, W.; Houben, R. M. G. J.; White, R. G. M. G. J.; Smit, T.; Smith, M. J.; Fielding, K.; Grant, A. D.

2026-06-09 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354571 medRxiv
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Background Tuberculosis remains the leading infectious cause of death worldwide. In the WHO African region, declining incidence has coincided with antiretroviral therapy (ART) scale-up, though whether this reflects reduced progression to disease or reduced transmission is unclear. We evaluated how ART and symptom status influence within-household Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBC) transmission risk. Methods We conducted a case-contact household study in rural South Africa, enrolling index adults with bacteriologically-confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis. MTBC immunoreactivity was measured in all child household contacts (aged 2-14 years) as a proxy measure of within-household transmission. We assessed the influence of index person ART status and symptom status, and explored effect-measure modification of the association between index person HIV status and transmission risk by sex. Results Among 755 child contacts of 296 index persons, effective ART was not associated with within-household MTBC transmission risk (risk ratio [RR], 1.07; 95% CI, 0.66-1.74). Among PLHIV engaged in ART care, WHO TB four-symptom screen (WHO4SS) status was not associated with transmission risk (RR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.43-1.47), although absence of reported cough reduced risk (RR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.38-0.96). A pronounced interaction between sex and HIV status was observed: HIV-negative women had the highest within-household MTBC transmission risk (30.5% vs. 14.3% in women with HIV) whereas risks were similar between HIV-positive and HIV-negative men. Conclusions We found no evidence that effective ART or WHO4SS status influenced within-household MTBC transmission risk, though confidence intervals were wide. Absence of reported cough was associated with lower risk, and transmission risk was highest among child contacts of HIV-negative women. These findings suggest reported cough is a useful marker of transmission risk and that routine tuberculosis screening within ART care may reduce transmission from PLHIV; intensified efforts are nonetheless needed to achieve earlier tuberculosis detection in HIV-negative individuals.